Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000459 0.000509 0.000562 0.000625 0.000696 0.000775 0.000868
2026-02-01 0.000378 0.000448 0.000530 0.000633 0.000760 0.000913 0.001114
2026-02-08 0.000324 0.000402 0.000499 0.000628 0.000798 0.001019 0.001329
2026-02-15 0.000287 0.000369 0.000476 0.000625 0.000834 0.001118 0.001546
2026-02-22 0.000259 0.000344 0.000458 0.000625 0.000868 0.001218 0.001773
2026-03-01 0.000240 0.000327 0.000448 0.000632 0.000912 0.001333 0.002039
2026-03-08 0.000222 0.000311 0.000437 0.000635 0.000947 0.001438 0.002304
2026-03-15 0.000211 0.000301 0.000434 0.000649 0.001001 0.001578 0.002647
2026-03-22 0.000194 0.000283 0.000416 0.000638 0.001012 0.001647 0.002876
2026-03-29 0.000183 0.000271 0.000407 0.000639 0.001043 0.001754 0.003190
2026-04-05 0.000172 0.000260 0.000397 0.000637 0.001067 0.001849 0.003499
2026-04-12 0.000163 0.000251 0.000390 0.000639 0.001099 0.001964 0.003866
2026-04-19 0.000154 0.000240 0.000380 0.000637 0.001123 0.002071 0.004244
2026-04-26 0.000147 0.000233 0.000376 0.000644 0.001168 0.002225 0.004765
2026-05-03 0.000139 0.000223 0.000366 0.000639 0.001188 0.002331 0.005195
2026-05-10 0.000132 0.000214 0.000357 0.000637 0.001212 0.002449 0.005682
2026-05-17 0.000126 0.000207 0.000350 0.000636 0.001240 0.002582 0.006235
2026-05-24 0.000121 0.000202 0.000347 0.000644 0.001286 0.002759 0.006955
2026-05-31 0.000116 0.000197 0.000343 0.000646 0.001321 0.002919 0.007665
2026-06-07 0.000113 0.000194 0.000343 0.000661 0.001385 0.003159 0.008682
2026-06-14 0.000107 0.000186 0.000333 0.000649 0.001387 0.003242 0.009233
2026-06-21 0.000103 0.000181 0.000328 0.000651 0.001420 0.003411 0.010113
2026-06-28 0.000099 0.000175 0.000322 0.000648 0.001443 0.003558 0.010963